Showing posts with label fly fishing for dummies download. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fly fishing for dummies download. Show all posts

Thursday, 10 February 2011

Fly Fishing For Dummies

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fly fishing for dummies
what is the long term number of fish?

a0=300 fish. decreases by 15%, add 50.

a1=95
a3=2514 fish

how do i find the long term value (the limit)?

make it for dummies, math flies right over my head...


I assume that "decreases by 15%, add 50" is the rule to find the number a(n+1) of fish in the next generation from the number of fish a(n) in the generation before. A decrease by 15% means that 85% or a fraction of 85/100 remains, so that:

a(n+1) = (85/100) a(n) + 50.

However, then I cannot make sense of a1=95, a3=2514 fish. I get:
a0 = 300
a1 = 305
a2 = 309.25
a3 = 312.8625

To find the limit (if it exists), let's give it a name: L. If a(n) gets very close to L, then so does a(n+1), so let us replace both by L in the equation:

L = (85/100) L + 50.

Solving for L gives L = 1000/3 = 333.333...


Wrightsville Beach Fishing & Fly Tying, The Spoon Fly









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